Poland elections 2023: Poll shows ruling conservative PiS party is still ahead but would lose its parliamentary majority

Although elections are a year away, polling shows Poland’s conservatives have some cause for concern

editor: Remix News
author: Grzegorz Adamczyk
Source: Twitter/Kancelaria Sejmu

The ruling Law and Justice (PiS) has increased its share of the potential vote from 32 to 33 percent, according to a poll carried out by IBRiS for portal onet.pl, however, the poll also shows that PiS would likely lose its parliamentary majority if elections were held today.

The poll shows that the main opposition party, Civic Platform’s (PO), has seen its vote share go up from 25 to 27 percent, which means the poll lead for PiS has fallen by one point to 6 percent. 

In third place is the liberal pro-ecology Polska 2050 movement led by former presidential candidate Szymon Hołownia, with his party polling at 11 percent, 2 percent less than recorded in the previous IBRiS survey. 

The Left is polling at 8 percent, while the Polish People’s Party (PSL) and Confederation have 6 percent each. According to IBRiS, the number of undecided voters is at 9 percent. 

The IBRiS findings are broadly in line with the direction of other polls.

According to Politico Europe’s Poll of Polls, PiS is at 37 percent, while PO is at 28 percent; Polska 2050, 11 percent; the Left, 9 percent; Confederation, 6 percent; and PSL, 4 percent.

If such figures were repeated in a general election, the ruling PiS would lose its parliamentary majority. National elections are set for autumn 2023, which means the country’s conservatives still have approximately a year to gain back voters’ confidence.

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